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Background
Consider a test in which multiple stresses are applied simultaneously
to a particular automotive part in order to precipitate failures more
quickly than they would occur under normal use conditions. The engineers responsible for the test
are able to quantify the
combination of applied stresses in terms of a "percentage stress" as
compared to typical stress levels (or assumed field conditions). In
this scenario, the typical stress (field or use stress) is defined as
100%
and any combination of the test stresses is quantified as a percentage over
the typical stress. For example, if the combination of stresses on test is
determined to be two times higher than typical conditions, then the stress on
test is said to be at 200%.
The test is
set up
and run as a step-stress test (i.e. the
stresses are increased in a stepwise fashion) and the time on test is measured in
hours. The step-stress profile used is as follows: until 200 hours, the equivalent applied stress
is
125%; from 200 to 300 hrs, it is 175%; from 300 to 350
hrs, it
is 200% and from 350
to 375 hrs, it is 250%. The test is terminated after 375 hours and any units that
are still running after that
point are right-censored (suspended).
Figure 1 shows this Stress Profile,
as defined in ALTA 7 PRO, and
Figure
1A
shows an automatically generated report for this profile. Additionally, and based on prior
analysis/knowledge, the engineers also state that each hour on test under
normal use conditions (i.e. at 100% stress measure) is equivalent to
approximately 100 miles of normal driving.
Experiment
and Data
The test
is conducted and the following times-to-failure
and times-to-suspension under the stated step-stress profile are observed (note that XXX+
indicates a non-failed unit, i.e. suspension): 252, 280, 320, 328, 335, 354, 361, 362, 368,
375+, 375+,
375+ hr.
After performing failure analysis on the failed
parts, it is determined that the failure that occurred at 328 hrs is due
to mechanisms other than the ones considered. That data point is
therefore identified as a suspension in the current analysis. The
modified data set for this analysis is: 252, 280, 320, 328+, 335, 354, 361, 362, 368,
375+, 375+,
375+ hr.
The test objective is to estimate the
B(1) life for the part (i.e. time at which reliability is equal to 99%)
at the typical operating conditions (i.e. Stress=100%), in miles.
Analysis
Step 1: Utilizing ALTA 7 PRO, the analyst first creates a new
Standard Folio for non-grouped time-to-failure and
time-to-suspension data, using "Other" as the stress type and entering
100 as the use stress, and then defines the Stress Profile, as shown in
Figure 1.
Step 2: Once the profile is defined, the analyst
selects the cumulative damage life-stress model (to use a time-varying
stress) and the Weibull distribution, then selects the Logarithmic (Power
LSR) transformation
(since the effect of the stress was deemed to be mechanical and more
appropriately modeled by a power function) in the Stress Transformation
window. The analyst then enters the observed times,
their state (i.e. Failed F or non-failed S) and a reference to the profile
used in the ALTA Data Folio. Figure 2
illustrates this.
Step 3:
There are several methods available to ascertain adequacy of fit, including residual plots and use level probability plots,
as shown in
Figure
3A and Figure 3B.
Step 4:
The last part remaining is to determine the B(1) life at the part's use stress level. Using the QCP,
the B(1) life is found to be 657 hours, as shown in
Figure 4. Based on the given multiplier, the
B(1) life in miles would then be 657 test-hr*100 (miles/test-hr)= 65,700 miles.
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